will may be Our cruel mistress?
wayward brO is wayward O's bro. he lives in CATONSVILLE. in 1994 he got a RAFAEL PALMEIRO jersey for birthday. wayward brO enjoys days at the beach, thunderstorms and playing TDK CASSETTES of JOE and JON from BETTER DAYS.
wayward brO was crunching the numbers into wee hours last night. because wayward brO is not merely content to enjoy april gifts. he, like most of diaspOra, figures team will regress back to -- and ultimately well under -- baseball's mean. here's what he came up with...
April W-L -----> May W-L
'97: 16-7 -----> 36-15
'98: 14-13 -----> 25-30
'99: 6-16 -----> 19-31
'00: 14-10 -----> 23-27
'01: 12-14 -----> 24-28
'02: 12-14 -----> 24-28
'03: 13-12 -----> 27-27
'04: 12-9 -----> 24-23
'05: 16-7 -----> 31-20
'06: 13-13 -----> 25-28
'07: 12-14 -----> 27-27
totals: 140-129 (.520) -----> 285-284 (.501)
"They're doin' it again."
but wayward O thinks there may be key differences this season, which might pOrtend something different. here they are:
KEY DIFFERENCE NO. 1: dave trembley is good manager. he will make sure team doesn't get too tard out.
KEY DIFFERENCE NO. 2: andy macphail seems to have found a nice balance of players this year. there are essentially three types of player on team: YOUNG GUYS, OLD GUYS and BRIAN ROBERTS.
looking at brO's numbaz, wayward O is starting to hope team can avoid a may disaster a la the '00 and '07 vintages; and avoid june doom as happened in the '05 collapse.
but pretty much everyone doubts team can pull off something like the '97 wire to wire year.
maybe that leaves us somewhere in the middle. maybe team can maintain composure, weather bad stretches, and yield something like the '89 why nOt team, which played meaningful games all year and made us proud.
in any event, i think we can all agree april wins > april losses no matter what happens rest of year!
wayward brO was crunching the numbers into wee hours last night. because wayward brO is not merely content to enjoy april gifts. he, like most of diaspOra, figures team will regress back to -- and ultimately well under -- baseball's mean. here's what he came up with...
'97: 16-7 -----> 36-15
'98: 14-13 -----> 25-30
'99: 6-16 -----> 19-31
'00: 14-10 -----> 23-27
'01: 12-14 -----> 24-28
'02: 12-14 -----> 24-28
'03: 13-12 -----> 27-27
'04: 12-9 -----> 24-23
'05: 16-7 -----> 31-20
'06: 13-13 -----> 25-28
'07: 12-14 -----> 27-27
totals: 140-129 (.520) -----> 285-284 (.501)
"They're doin' it again."
but wayward O thinks there may be key differences this season, which might pOrtend something different. here they are:
KEY DIFFERENCE NO. 1: dave trembley is good manager. he will make sure team doesn't get too tard out.
KEY DIFFERENCE NO. 2: andy macphail seems to have found a nice balance of players this year. there are essentially three types of player on team: YOUNG GUYS, OLD GUYS and BRIAN ROBERTS.
looking at brO's numbaz, wayward O is starting to hope team can avoid a may disaster a la the '00 and '07 vintages; and avoid june doom as happened in the '05 collapse.
but pretty much everyone doubts team can pull off something like the '97 wire to wire year.
maybe that leaves us somewhere in the middle. maybe team can maintain composure, weather bad stretches, and yield something like the '89 why nOt team, which played meaningful games all year and made us proud.
in any event, i think we can all agree april wins > april losses no matter what happens rest of year!
Labels: 2008: the lost season
posted by the wayward o at
8:26 AM
4 Comments:
In '98 - the year after Palmeiro choked Mussina to death in the ALCS - Os started 7-1 in April. They finished the month 7 - 12. That's what we have to avoid this year.
pick a month .... we've swooned!
We got like 6 more games with
The Rays in april, and Mariners again in April, then the BlueJays, Chisox and Yanquis at the yard. Then we go to Chicago. So we will prolly come out above .500. Then it'll me May. It's a long season.....
-brO
Keeping the faith!! Trembley is on top of it!
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